Punta Umbria Cd vs CD Iliplense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Punta Umbria Cd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
PUN
42%
25%
34%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 3
PUN
44%
25%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PUN
2 - 0
CAR
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAZ
2 - 1
PUN
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
PUN
0 - 0
ALJ
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Iliplense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ILI
2 - 3
CAN
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ILI
4 - 3
VAL
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
ILI
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ILI
6 - 1
UDA
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
MOG
0 - 4
ILI
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |