Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis

Pumas UNAM Toluca
79 ELO 84
1.3% Tilt 1.3%
399º General ELO ranking 332º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
31.7%
Pumas UNAM
24.8%
Draw
43.5%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
Pumas UNAM
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.5%
Win probability
Toluca
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pumas UNAM
-14%
+23%
Toluca

Points and table prediction

Pumas UNAM
Their league position
Toluca
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
10º
21
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
40
40
100%
Monterrey
33
33
100%
Tigres UANL
30
30
100%
Pumas UNAM
28
28
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
27
27
100%
Puebla
25
25
100%
Atl. San Luis
23
23
100%
León
23
23
0%
Santos Laguna
23
23
0%
Mazatlán
10º
22
22
10º
0%
Pachuca
11º
22
22
11º
0%
Toluca
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Tijuana
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Querétaro
14º
19
19
14º
100%
FC Juárez
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Cruz Azul
16º
17
17
16º
0%
Atlas FC
17º
17
17
17º
0%
Necaxa
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pumas UNAM
Toluca
Final Series
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Pumas UNAM
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2023
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 1
Querétaro
QRO
57%
22%
21%
79 74 5 0
30 Jul. 2023
PUM
Pumas UNAM
3 - 0
DC United
DCU
50%
23%
26%
79 76 3 0
23 Jul. 2023
MON
CF Montréal
2 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
52%
24%
24%
79 82 3 0
17 Jul. 2023
PAC
Pachuca
1 - 1
Pumas UNAM
PUM
60%
21%
19%
79 84 5 0
09 Jul. 2023
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 0
Mazatlán
MAZ
57%
24%
20%
79 73 6 0

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2023
TOL
Toluca
2 - 2
Minnesota United
MIN
61%
20%
20%
84 80 4 0
05 Aug. 2023
TOL
Toluca
4 - 1
Sporting Kansas City
KCW
57%
21%
22%
84 82 2 0
01 Aug. 2023
TOL
Toluca
4 - 1
Colorado Rapids
COR
62%
19%
19%
83 79 4 +1
28 Jul. 2023
NSC
Nashville SC
3 - 4
Toluca
TOL
46%
24%
30%
83 84 1 0
16 Jul. 2023
TOL
Toluca
2 - 4
FC Juárez
JUA
77%
15%
8%
83 73 10 0