Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 3
PUM
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PUM
2 - 3
AME
42%
24%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PUM
2 - 1
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
PUM
0 - 3
TIG
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
QRO
4 - 3
PUM
42%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
1 - 4
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
2 - 3
TOL
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |