Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 3
PUM
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PUM
2 - 2
TIG
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AME
0 - 1
PUM
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 2
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 3
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |