Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
DEL
3 - 2
PUM
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 0
PUM
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PUM
2 - 2
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PUM
2 - 2
CAZ
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
PUM
39%
29%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
MOR
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |