Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
PUM
3 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
SNL
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |