Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
PAC
1 - 3
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
PUM
0 - 1
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
EST
1 - 0
PUM
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
PUM
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2004 |
PUM
2 - 1
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 4
ATL
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
ATL
4 - 2
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |