Pumas UNAM vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
MON
1 - 2
PUM
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
PUM
2 - 1
AUR
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 1
PUM
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 2
AME
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
AME
0 - 0
PUM
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
4 - 1
MOR
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 3
TOL
40%
25%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 0
NEC
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 2
NEC
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2002 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOL
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |