Pumas UNAM vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 1
PUM
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
CON
2 - 2
PUM
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 2
PAC
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
PUM
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PUM
3 - 0
QRO
67%
21%
13%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
COM
0 - 3
RES
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
COM
2 - 0
RES
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
RES
2 - 0
VIC
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
RES
1 - 2
PLA
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
RES
1 - 0
RJU
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |