Pumas UNAM vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
JAG
3 - 1
PUM
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUM
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
PUM
0 - 3
JAG
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PUM
0 - 1
AME
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
PUM
1 - 0
ALE
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 2
JAG
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
PUE
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 0
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
STR
2 - 0
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |