Pumas UNAM vs CA Morelia analysis


81	ELO	80
-5.2%	Tilt	-4.5%
399º	General ELO ranking	1548º
11º	Country ELO ranking	31º
ELO win probability

53.2%

Pumas UNAM

22%

Draw

24.8%

CA Morelia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

53.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%

22%

Draw

0-0

4%

1-1

9.9%

2-2

6.1%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

22%

24.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-12%

+15%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pumas UNAM

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 May. 2002	PUM 1 - 0 MON 87% 9% 3%	81	55	26	0
09 May. 2002	MOR 1 - 3 PUM 61% 20% 19%	80	81	1	+1
09 May. 2002	MON 1 - 3 PUM 13% 22% 65%	80	56	24	0
27 Apr. 2002	TOL 0 - 2 PUM 65% 19% 16%	79	82	3	+1
21 Apr. 2002	PUM 1 - 0 NEC 49% 23% 28%	79	81	2	0

Matches

CA Morelia

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
09 May. 2002	MOR 1 - 3 PUM 61% 20% 19%	81	80	1	0
07 May. 2002	MOR 1 - 2 AME 59% 22% 20%	81	83	2	0
30 Apr. 2002	MOR 3 - 2 OLM 78% 14% 8%	81	72	9	0
27 Apr. 2002	MOR 4 - 1 PAC 59% 21% 21%	80	80	0	+1
24 Apr. 2002	OLM 0 - 5 MOR 39% 24% 37%	80	74	6	0