CONCACAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ATS
0 - 0
PUM
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
PUM
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 2
TIG
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 1
PUM
53%
24%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
8 - 0
MET
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
PUM
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 1
MOR
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |