CONCACAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 9-2
Pumas UNAM vs Isidro Metapán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
PUM
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOL
0 - 2
PUM
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
QRO
61%
24%
15%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Isidro Metapán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
PUM
34%
28%
39%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MET
1 - 1
FAS
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
MET
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MET
2 - 1
FIR
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |