Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 6-4
Pumas UNAM vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VER
1 - 1
PUM
35%
24%
40%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 0
VER
79%
13%
9%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
1 - 5
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
PUM
1 - 3
NEC
60%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2004 |
ATS
3 - 3
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 1
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DOR
0 - 1
ATS
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
EST
2 - 3
ATS
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |