Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
TAU
0 - 0
PUM
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 1
PUM
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
PUM
0 - 1
DAL
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
PUM
45%
27%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
CAZ
41%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATS
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |