CONCACAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 1-5
Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
SNL
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
6 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
PUM
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
PUM
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
CAZ
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TIG
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 0
ARA
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 3
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAZ
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |