Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SNL
3 - 2
PUM
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PUM
3 - 0
TIG
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 2
PUM
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PUM
3 - 2
ATS
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 3
PUM
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 1
JAG
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAZ
26%
26%
49%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2007 |
AME
2 - 2
CAZ
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ATL
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |