Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
PAC
0 - 0
PUM
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 2
PUM
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
PUM
2 - 0
JAG
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
VER
2 - 1
PUM
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 0
QRO
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 2
CAZ
35%
26%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 2
CHI
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MON
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAZ
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |