Liga MX Finals - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 1
ATS
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 2
PUM
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 2
MON
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
EST
1 - 3
PUM
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 2
CAZ
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 1
JAG
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
VER
2 - 6
CAZ
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |