Premier de Ascenso - Clausura Final
Global 4-3
Pumas UNAM Premier vs Guadalajara Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
PUM
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
OUN
1 - 0
PUM
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 0
CHA
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PET
2 - 3
PUM
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
PUM
1 - 0
IPC
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guadalajara Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
PUM
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
RCU
1 - 0
GUA
21%
22%
56%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 2
AEM
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
LEO
4 - 2
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
IRA
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |