Pumas Morelos vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
PUM
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 1
ORI
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 0
UAT
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
REB
1 - 2
PUM
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 2
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
LOB
0 - 1
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
CAZ
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 0
GUE
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
VER
4 - 0
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 0
UDG
56%
24%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |