Pullach vs Vilzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pullach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
WOL
0 - 2
PUL
14%
21%
65%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
PUL
5 - 1
ISM
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
PUL
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
HAH
0 - 0
PUL
18%
23%
60%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PUL
2 - 2
JRE
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Vilzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
UNT
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 0
VIL
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 4
LAN
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
FCP
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HEI
0 - 1
VIL
68%
18%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |