Pullach vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pullach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 1
PUL
19%
20%
61%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
PUL
2 - 1
FCP
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 2
PUL
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PUL
4 - 3
SON
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 5
PUL
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 3
UNT
32%
25%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
KOT
1 - 1
BOG
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 3
BOG
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
BOG
1 - 1
FCP
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
HEI
1 - 2
BOG
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |