Pullach vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pullach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
PUL
5 - 0
UNT
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
PUL
1 - 2
HAH
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SON
2 - 0
PUL
31%
24%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PUL
2 - 1
RAI
73%
17%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
PUL
3 - 2
VIL
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 1
BAD
52%
22%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
UNT
0 - 3
BOG
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BOG
2 - 0
LAN
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
HAH
0 - 0
BOG
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SON
1 - 1
BOG
50%
23%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |