Pullach vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pullach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WOL
1 - 3
PUL
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PUL
1 - 1
WAC
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 1
PUL
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
PUL
1 - 1
AFF
66%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PUL
1 - 2
LAN
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 1
HAH
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BOG
4 - 0
LAN
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FCP
3 - 0
BOG
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 1
VRG
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RAI
1 - 3
BOG
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |