Penang FC vs Perak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
13º
10º
22
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
SAB
5 - 2
PUL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PUL
1 - 2
SEL
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
KED
2 - 2
PUL
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KEL
2 - 0
PUL
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
PUL
0 - 0
NEG
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Perak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
PER
0 - 3
PAH
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
KFA
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
PAH
13%
18%
68%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MPK
0 - 0
PER
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
PDR
0 - 0
PER
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |