Penang FC vs Sri Pahang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
13º
10º
45
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 12 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
KFA
0 - 0
PUL
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MPK
1 - 0
PUL
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PDR
3 - 0
PUL
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
PUL
1 - 2
KED
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KUL
1 - 0
PUL
67%
18%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Pahang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
PAH
2 - 3
PDR
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PAH
2 - 2
TER
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PAH
3 - 2
KFA
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PAH
1 - 1
KUL
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KUL
1 - 0
PAH
41%
23%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |