Pukekohe vs Matamata Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pukekohe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PUK
1 - 2
WAI
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Matamata Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MSA
0 - 2
PAP
39%
22%
39%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
CEN
8 - 0
MSA
87%
10%
3%
|
9 | 57 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
WHU
2 - 0
MSA
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
MSA
2 - 1
HNK
45%
22%
33%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MSA
1 - 3
FEN
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |