4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Puigcerda vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puigcerda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
PUI
3 - 0
GIR
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
BER
2 - 4
PUI
13%
15%
72%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
PUI
4 - 0
CCR
54%
19%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SLM
0 - 6
PUI
9%
12%
79%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PUI
3 - 0
VIL
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
CAS
9 - 1
CLL
89%
7%
3%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
NAV
1 - 1
CAS
51%
20%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 1
OLV
91%
7%
2%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
GIR
1 - 1
CAS
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 1
BER
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |