Puget Sound Gunners vs Washington Crossfire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
48%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puget Sound Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
PUG
0 - 1
KIT
18%
22%
60%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
LAN
4 - 1
PUG
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
PUG
78%
15%
8%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SEA
2 - 3
PUG
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
PUG
1 - 1
ATL
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Washington Crossfire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SEA
2 - 1
WAS
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
WAS
1 - 2
VAN
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
WAS
2 - 0
VIC
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 1
WAS
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
WAS
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |