Puget Sound Gunners vs Washington Crossfire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puget Sound Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2012 |
WAS
1 - 0
PUG
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
ABB
1 - 2
PUG
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
PUG
1 - 5
ATL
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
VAN
2 - 0
PUG
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
PUG
2 - 7
KIT
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Washington Crossfire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2012 |
WAS
1 - 2
KIT
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
WAS
1 - 0
PUG
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
WAS
1 - 0
VIC
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ABB
1 - 1
WAS
46%
23%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2011 |
WAS
0 - 3
VAN
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |