Puget Sound Gunners vs Kitsap Pumas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puget Sound Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
WAS
2 - 2
PUG
78%
13%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SEA
5 - 0
PUG
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
KIT
1 - 0
PUG
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PUG
1 - 1
WAS
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
PUG
3 - 3
LAN
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kitsap Pumas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
SEA
0 - 1
KIT
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
KIT
1 - 0
PUG
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
KIT
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
KIT
3 - 1
CFO
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
SEA
4 - 2
KIT
40%
24%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |