Puget Sound Gunners vs Kitsap Pumas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puget Sound Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PUG
1 - 2
WAS
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
WAS
1 - 0
PUG
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2012 |
ABB
1 - 2
PUG
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
PUG
1 - 5
ATL
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
VAN
2 - 0
PUG
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kitsap Pumas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2012 |
WAS
1 - 2
KIT
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
KIT
25%
24%
52%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 0
KIT
49%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
KIT
3 - 1
SEA
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
KIT
1 - 3
CAL
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |