Puertollano vs Sp. Villanueva Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AGD
2 - 0
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
RJA
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
POL
0 - 2
PUE
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
CFB
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 0
SRQ
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sp. Villanueva Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
SRQ
16%
25%
59%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 0
SPO
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
SEV
15%
24%
61%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |