Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-2
Puertollano vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
CDZ
1 - 1
PUE
43%
30%
27%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
PUE
4 - 1
CPC
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
UES
0 - 0
PUE
48%
29%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PUE
5 - 0
AGD
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
RJA
3 - 2
GDE
57%
26%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ALG
3 - 0
RJA
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
ELC
2 - 0
RJA
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |