Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Puertollano vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
PUE
3 - 0
CDC
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PED
0 - 0
PUE
13%
22%
65%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
VIL
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 2
PUE
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PUE
1 - 0
UDS
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
TAP
2 - 0
LEA
9%
20%
72%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LEA
2 - 0
LEN
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TUI
1 - 1
LEA
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
LEA
3 - 0
GIN
80%
14%
5%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
LEA
49%
25%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |