Puerto Serrano Atco. vs Alcalá Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Serrano Atco.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 0
ESP
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
3 - 4
PUE
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 1
FLO
65%
19%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 2
PUE
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
PUE
4 - 0
PRA
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alcalá Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
FLO
32%
25%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 2
ALC
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
PRA
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
ALC
34%
24%
42%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
ATL
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |