Puerto San José vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SPD
2 - 1
PUE
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 1
COA
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
MIX
1 - 2
PUE
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 2
ESC
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
COA
2 - 0
PUE
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NUE
0 - 0
ESC
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
IZT
3 - 1
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 0
XIN
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
NUE
60%
23%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |