Puerto Real CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
AGU
2 - 1
ARC
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
SRQ
3 - 3
ARC
17%
24%
58%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ARC
1 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
UDS
1 - 1
ARC
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 4
ARC
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LUC
0 - 0
COR
31%
29%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
LUC
2 - 1
POZ
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
AYA
0 - 2
LUC
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
LUC
2 - 0
PAL
57%
25%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
CRD
0 - 0
LUC
40%
27%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |