Puerto Real CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
MON
2 - 0
ARC
45%
27%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ARC
2 - 1
VVA
47%
26%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
JER
2 - 0
ARC
47%
27%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ARC
0 - 0
RLI
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
UDT
2 - 2
ARC
40%
27%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
LUC
3 - 2
AGU
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
REC
1 - 1
LUC
37%
28%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
CIU
1 - 0
LUC
74%
15%
10%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LUC
2 - 0
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
POR
1 - 2
LUC
25%
28%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |