Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
IQU
1 - 1
PUE
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 0
CDM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
PUE
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
PUE
1 - 0
MAG
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HUA
3 - 0
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 2
MAG
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
COB
1 - 0
UCO
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
UCO
1 - 1
CDM
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
DLS
1 - 2
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |