Copa Chile 1/16
Global 3-1
Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
68.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 1
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 3
USF
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
SWA
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PUE
3 - 1
MAL
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 2
ANT
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |