Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
79.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
IBE
3 - 2
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CUR
0 - 0
PUE
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
PUE
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 0
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
LOT
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |