Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ANT
3 - 1
PUE
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
PUE
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
PUE
2 - 0
CSL
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
COQ
0 - 1
PUE
38%
26%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PUE
3 - 1
UCO
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
COQ
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
CSD
2 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
UCH
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 2
UCO
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
UCO
0 - 0
OHI
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |