Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
PUE
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PUE
2 - 3
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
ACS
3 - 4
PUE
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
PUE
3 - 0
CSL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
SWA
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
UCO
2 - 1
COB
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
COQ
0 - 1
UCO
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UCO
5 - 0
CSD
44%
25%
30%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
UCH
2 - 3
UCO
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |