Puerto Montt vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2002 |
CDM
0 - 1
PUE
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
PUE
1 - 0
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
CDP
1 - 3
PUE
34%
25%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 2
NTA
58%
22%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PUE
0 - 1
OHI
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2002 |
OVA
1 - 3
UCO
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 1
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
PUE
1 - 0
UCO
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
UCO
4 - 2
CDM
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
LOT
1 - 3
UCO
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |