Puerto Montt vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 3
CSD
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 0
PUE
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
PUE
0 - 0
LOT
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NTA
1 - 1
PUE
43%
28%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
NTA
2 - 1
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
CON
3 - 1
CUR
49%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CSD
1 - 0
CON
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |