Puerto Montt vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
COQ
2 - 2
PUE
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
PUE
2 - 3
UNI
25%
23%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
USF
2 - 2
PUE
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
PUE
1 - 1
COB
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 2
PUE
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CON
0 - 4
UCO
27%
27%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SWA
5 - 1
CON
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CON
1 - 2
ACS
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
COL
4 - 0
CON
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |