Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Puebla vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
QRO
0 - 0
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
TIJ
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 0
PUE
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
1 - 0
LEO
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUE
40%
29%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
MON
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 3
AME
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VER
3 - 2
TOL
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |