Puebla vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
SNL
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
LOB
0 - 2
PUE
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 0
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 1
CAZ
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 0
LOB
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 1
TOL
53%
24%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 1
IRA
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |